Is War Nigh?

Something deep in my gut is not comfortable with the latest Iranian British row.


I was having a mental exercise the other day. I was trying to figure out how the U.S would ever pull off a war on Iran with all the troubles it's having at home with Iraq.

One of the 'creative' scenarios I thought of was this: The British would provoke the Iranians, the Iranians would over-react, Britain would then declare war and the US would have to "return the favor to our allies". A great excuse: "We can't leave our friends in this alone. They stood by us when we needed them most"

It's not as far-fetched as you might imagine. Just think of this: Britain has been the most hardline country when it comes to Iran in the last few weeks. From reports in its press about impending American air-Strikes on Iran to hardline comments made by the British ambassador to the Security Council about the futility of giving Iran second chances.

By seizing 15 UK royal marines for "suspicious acts", Iranians are effectively trying to get back at the Brits. Remember, we're talking about a country that went to war over a tiny Island at the other end of the world. The Brits are not happy. They are "Demanding" the release of the marines, you could actually smell the "or-else" in between the lines.

More worrying are the large scale Israeli-American missile defence exercises for what analysts said would be in the event of a war with Iran. America won't launch a war with Iran before warning the Israelis, and it seems they did.

The British media already seems very mobilized. Could this incident be the beginning of World War III? Let's hope not..