
I'm asking. I really have no idea.
I expect it makes things more dangerous for our people because it makes the situation more complicated. I would guess the decisive influence of Iran in Iraq means the Iran election crisis will also be a crisis for Iraq.
The GOP, laughably, is trying to take credit for democratic ferment in Iran. Of course, these people cannot be taken seriously on any subject, particularly events in Southwest Asia.
Someone I do take seriously about events in the region is my nephew. He's a member of the 1/128. We've exchanged e-mails the last couple days and he's had some interesting things to report.
He's very guarded. Won't say where he is or what he's doing.
South of Baghdad, he says. Driving people around, he says . That's about it.
Mufti is the uniform of the day, he says. Has been for a couple weeks. He doesn't think that has anything to do with the Iran election crisis. Its just kind of odd.
The Revolutionary Guard have disappeared from the area, he says. He thinks that may have something to do with the election crisis.
They recruit in the area. They collect taxes in the area. They operate schools and dormitories and a clinic in the area. They have a couple big office buildings in the area.
The Guard stand out in the Iraqi communities where they operate, he says. They are much better dressed than the average Iraqi and travel about in Mercedes 350GX SUV's. They don't bother Americans and my nephew thinks they are actually beneficial to keeping order in the area of his unit's operation. He doesn't really like the Iraqi's and refers to them in the most contemptuous terms.
In the last several days, he reports, the Guard has vanished. I asked if they could have submerged themselves in the local population but my nephew thinks not. As I said, he doesn't think much of Iraqis and doesn't think the Guard does either. Consequently, he doesn't believe they could hide among the locals as the local militia fighters do.
What will happen now? As of this posting, it appears today's demonstrations are called off to forestall further attacks from the regime's storm troopers. Whether the drive to recast the election will succumb to the storm troopers remains to be see:15n.
Whatever the outcome, my nephew hopes it will permit the return of the Revolutionary Guard to Iraq South of Baghdad. He thinks they are necessary to keep the local militia/gangs in check.
Keeping the local militia in check is the only way he sees that US forces can exit and a speedy exit from Iraq is what he devoutly wishes.
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